Insights - russia

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US growth and the Fed - after the Russian invasion

28 Feb 2022 - Steven Blitz

The short-term implications of the Russian invasion of Ukraine pales next to the longer-run consequences, but the world focuses on the short-term and so too does this note (with a coda on the long-run). First off, Biden.

#Federal Reserve #Russia #Geopolitics #Ukraine

Russia-Ukraine war: Initial market take

25 Feb 2022 - Andrea Cicione

Markets normally react negatively to geopolitical risks but soon lose interest. The North Korea crisis of 2017-18 is a prime example of this: since it’s impossible to put a price on a nuclear war, markets simply decided.

#Federal Reserve #Oil & Gas #Oil Price #Russia #Commodities #Ukraine #War

Is peak oil now behind us?

27 May 2020 - Stephen O'Sullivan

In the last blog on energy a couple of weeks ago A bad week for Big Oil... with worse to come?, I highlighted two different views about Peak Oil out in the market: those who thought that the moment of Peak Oil (as in.

#OPEC #Oil Price #Russia #Saudi Arabia

A bad week for Big Oil... with worse to come?

07 May 2020 - Stephen O'Sullivan

The last week was quieter in the oil markets as far as prices were concerned and there was a steady drift upwards on the back of some economies partially reopening. It was, however, reporting week for the oil companies.

#Oil & Gas #OPEC #Oil Price #Russia

After oil at -$40, what next?

27 Apr 2020 - Stephen O'Sullivan

Last Monday we warned that oil prices could turn negative.  That evening they did just that, with the main US domestic grade WTI trading as low as -$40/bbl for the May contract (sellers were paying buyers to take the.

#OPEC #Oil Price #Russia

OPEC+ agreement: A band-aid to delay the crisis

14 Apr 2020 - Stephen O'Sullivan

Over the past weekend OPEC+ (OPEC plus Russia - and now plus a few other countries as well) announced that it had reached an agreement to cut oil production in response to the dramatic falls in oil demand following the.

#OPEC #Oil Price #Russia #Saudi Arabia

Prospects for the recovery of the global oil market

03 Apr 2020 - Stephen O'Sullivan

On January 1 Brent crude oil was trading above $66/bbl.  Three months later, it had fallen by more than 60% from that level.  A coronavirus-driven decline was followed by a collapse when the three-year old agreement.

#China #Oil & Gas #Covid19 #OPEC #Oil Price #Russia

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