Insights - interest rates

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Inflation was always the Endgame

04 Nov 2022 - Dario Perkins

There is beautiful irony in macroeconomics, a sort of inherent Minsky dynamic, or universal Goodhart law, that means that just when everyone thinks something is definitively true, it turns out to be spectacularly false..

#Federal Reserve #Monetary Policy #Interest Rates #Recession #Unemployment

How High for Unemployment in the coming US Recession

26 Jul 2022 - Steven Blitz

There are any number of ways to dissect the spread between the 7% job openings rate and 3.5% unemployment, but the needed drop in demand’s contribution to current inflation occurs when this spread turns negative..

#Federal Reserve #Monetary Policy #Interest Rates #Recession #Unemployment

The Bank of England’s monetary ‘put’ need not imply static policy

28 Jun 2021 - Konstantinos Venetis

June’s MPC meeting delivered no surprises, but the debate within the Committee is becoming more nuanced. A closer look at the minutes reveals early signs of a rift between 1) those members on alert for imminent signs of.

#Inflation #Interest Rates #Bank Of England #Quantitative Easing

Politics of unemployment to reign

26 Jun 2020 - Steven Blitz

As the economy reopens, the revealed recessionary environment will reflect the imbalance of the expansion just ended – a surplus of service-related workers with no obvious direction in which to go to find re-employment..

#Federal Reserve #Interest Rates #Fiscal Policy #Bear Market #Unemployment #US Election

Buyside bust & the dollar crunch

14 Apr 2020 - Dario Perkins

Despite my best efforts, the phrase Buyside Bubble has never really caught on as a description of post-2008 financial markets. Perhaps this is because, what it gained in clever alliteration (or so I like to think…), it.

#Interest Rates #Yield curve #Bubble

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