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Inflation was always the Endgame
04 Nov 2022 - Dario PerkinsThere is beautiful irony in macroeconomics, a sort of inherent Minsky dynamic, or universal Goodhart law, that means that just when everyone thinks something is definitively true, it turns out to be spectacularly false..
#Federal Reserve #Monetary Policy #Interest Rates #Recession #Unemployment
How High for Unemployment in the coming US Recession
26 Jul 2022 - Steven BlitzThere are any number of ways to dissect the spread between the 7% job openings rate and 3.5% unemployment, but the needed drop in demand’s contribution to current inflation occurs when this spread turns negative..
#Federal Reserve #Monetary Policy #Interest Rates #Recession #Unemployment
The Bank of England’s monetary ‘put’ need not imply static policy
28 Jun 2021 - Konstantinos VenetisJune’s MPC meeting delivered no surprises, but the debate within the Committee is becoming more nuanced. A closer look at the minutes reveals early signs of a rift between 1) those members on alert for imminent signs of.
#Inflation #Interest Rates #Bank Of England #Quantitative Easing
Politics of unemployment to reign
26 Jun 2020 - Steven BlitzAs the economy reopens, the revealed recessionary environment will reflect the imbalance of the expansion just ended – a surplus of service-related workers with no obvious direction in which to go to find re-employment..
#Federal Reserve #Interest Rates #Fiscal Policy #Bear Market #Unemployment #US Election
Buyside bust & the dollar crunch
14 Apr 2020 - Dario PerkinsDespite my best efforts, the phrase Buyside Bubble has never really caught on as a description of post-2008 financial markets. Perhaps this is because, what it gained in clever alliteration (or so I like to think…), it.
#Interest Rates #Yield curve #Bubble
