If the Fed buys stocks? Then sell
05 Aug 2020 - Charles DumasOctober 1929 – the Wall Street Crash is gathering frightening momentum. Several leading Wall Street bankers get together and decide to backstop the stock market, they come out swinging, placing a bid to purchase a large.
#Federal Reserve #Recession #Charles Dumas #stock market
Can Europe outperform during America’s COVID-19 second wave?
09 Jul 2020 - Dario PerkinsWith every macro data point we are learning more about the economic consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic. What have we discovered so far? First, the contraction in activity – the largest in modern history – is.
#Eurozone #Recession #Dario Perkins #coronavirus
The war on deflation
15 May 2020 - Dario PerkinsThe COVID-19 pandemic has forced governments and central banks to work together to support the economy. While most investors welcome these efforts – it is the reason global asset prices have recovered from their March.
#Central Banks #Monetary Policy #Inflation #Recession #Dario Perkins #coronavirus
The equity rebound - just another bulltrap?
01 May 2020 - Dario PerkinsWatching financial markets, it is tempting to think the worst of the COVID-19 crisis is over. Equity values have bounced and credit spreads have narrowed, even as the oil market continues to suffer alarming strains..
#Monetary Policy #Recession #Dario Perkins #Fiscal Policy #coronavirus #bear market #bull market
World slump - weak rebound
26 Mar 2020 - Charles DumasWidespread hopes for a V-shaped recovery from the impending recession will probably be dashed. And stock markets are only likely to rebound sharply if they fall a lot further from here – at Tuesday's Close the S&P index.
#Equities #Recession #Charles Dumas #coronavirus #bear market
The bear and fear stalk the world
10 Mar 2020 - Charles DumasGlobal spread of the Covid-19 virus looks likely to cause a worldwide recession and bear market in stocks. Nobody knows how serious the disease is likely to be. But The Brookings Institution’s estimates suggest a.
#Equities #Recession #Charles Dumas #coronavirus #stock market #bear market
The rules to being a sellside economist
21 Jan 2020 - Dario Perkins1) Economic forecasts: Forecasting GDP is basically a waste of time - no investor actually cares what this backward-looking gauge of the economy is doing. But getting it "right" is one of the few (though dubious) ways.
#Central Banks #Liquidity #GDP #Recession #Economy #Dario Perkins
