Client Login
Contact
Powell lowers the strike price on the Fed's put
27 Jan 2022 - Steven BlitzAIT was the promise that the Fed would chase inflation rather than be pre-emptive and here we are, promise kept. Powell now promises the chase to be executed, using a combination of rate hikes and balance sheet.
#Federal Reserve #Monetary Policy #Inflation #Recovery
Don't extrapolate from this fake business cycle
13 Jan 2022 - Dario PerkinsEdgar Fiedler, who served as Assistant Secretary of the Treasury in the Richard Nixon and Gerald Ford administrations, famously joked: “Ask five economists a question and you'll get five different answers – six, if one.
#Central Banks #Monetary Policy #Inflation #Recession #Recovery
‘Undecided’ bond market has made up its mind – at least for now
13 Jan 2022 - Konstantinos VenetisTime to play catch-up. Policymakers have finally dropped the “transitory” narrative and are playing catch-up, rushing to normalize monetary settings closer in line with last year’s sharp positive macro turnaround. While.
#Central Banks #Federal Reserve #Monetary Policy #Inflation #Bond markets
Powell underplays hawkish turn
17 Dec 2021 - Steven BlitzThe march to a March hike is on, assuming, of course, no great downward swerve in growth and/or inflation between now and then. The FOMC sees three hikes in 2022 and this pacing alone tells you March comes first. Powell.
#Central Banks #Federal Reserve #Monetary Policy #Inflation
First Fed hike in March - it's not about current inflation
09 Dec 2021 - Steven BlitzMarch will mark the first Fed rate hike, sooner than the June timing I recently shifted to, and much sooner than the original Q4 call made in November 2020. The timing is being pulled forward because the circumstances.
#Central Banks #Federal Reserve #Monetary Policy #Inflation
Fed's inflation problem is wages in 2022, and no workable answer for it
02 Dec 2021 - Steven BlitzThe Fed’s problem is that current price hikes from shortages of goods and labour will pass, but the coming increase in wages will not. Because the conduit of monetary policy runs through the dollar and the equity.
#Central Banks #Federal Reserve #Monetary Policy #Inflation
Hawkish markets to force global policy response?
04 Nov 2021 - Dario PerkinsA simple narrative is taking over financial markets, especially the short end of the yield curve, where the idea that central banks are “behind the curve” is rapidly gaining traction. Initially, it was just the emerging.
#Central Banks #Monetary Policy #Inflation
Why central banks are suddenly sounding hawkish
29 Sep 2021 - Dario PerkinsCentral banks across the world have pivoted to a more hawkish mode in recent weeks. While this is in part acknowledgement that the recovery from COVID is continuing – albeit more hesitantly than officials expected at.
#Central Banks #Monetary Policy #Inflation
When the V starts to fade
17 Sep 2021 - Konstantinos VenetisThe looming threat to the global growth outlook posed by the Delta variant should not be conflated with what is a natural cyclical downshift in output growth – something that was always on the cards following the.
#Monetary Policy #Inflation #Equities #Stock Market #Volatility
Secular turning point in inflation?
12 Mar 2021 - Dario PerkinsThese days, economists tend to assess monetary policy relative to some deep underlying interest rate (the “equilibrium rate”, or r*) which depends on structural forces and is largely beyond the control of central banks..
#Central Banks #Monetary Policy #Inflation
