Insights - covid19

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TS Lombard has a 30 year track record of bold and incisive analysis of Economics, Politics and Markets. This brief video explains how and why our research is unique.
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Emerging Markets: The coming growth collapse

28 Apr 2020 - Jon Harrison

Some EM lockdowns are starting to ease. Many EM economies are now 3-4 weeks into restrictive measures and progress is seemingly being made on flattening the curve. Thoughts are turning to the exit strategy. India and.

#Emerging Markets #Covid19

Fire starter?

21 Apr 2020 - Dario Perkins

Policymakers all over the world have responded forcefully to COVID-19, using war-time analogies to justify massive expansions in their budget deficits. With governments adding up to 20% pts of GDP to their national.

#Monetary Policy #Inflation #Debt #Covid19

7 reasons the rally won't last

21 Apr 2020 - Andrea Cicione

Andrea Cicione, our Head of Strategy, and Steven Blitz, our Chief US Economist, answer the following 7 questions: Equity markets have rallied on the back of unprecedented fiscal and monetary support. Why do we think.

#Federal Reserve #Covid19

Prospects for the recovery of the global oil market

03 Apr 2020 - Stephen O'Sullivan

On January 1 Brent crude oil was trading above $66/bbl.  Three months later, it had fallen by more than 60% from that level.  A coronavirus-driven decline was followed by a collapse when the three-year old agreement.

#China #Oil & Gas #Covid19 #OPEC #Oil Price #Russia

Where are we in the COVID-19 crisis?

27 Mar 2020 - Andrea Cicione

TS Lombard’s Head of Strategy Andrea Cicione recently published an extremely useful piece of analysis designed to answer four crucial questions for investors: Where are we in the Covid-19 crisis? How bad will it get?.

#Covid19 #Macro Strategy

Covid-19 Crisis Roadmap

26 Mar 2020 - Oliver Brennan

This framework will shape our thinking about the evolution of the global economy over the next several months as we look for signposts and signals in the markets, economic growth and the progression of the virus. Where.

#Covid19

World slump - weak rebound

26 Mar 2020 - Charles Dumas

Widespread hopes for a V-shaped recovery from the impending recession will probably be dashed. And stock markets are only likely to rebound sharply if they fall a lot further from here – at Tuesday's Close the S&P index.

#Equities #Recession #Covid19 #Bear Market

Sudden stop

13 Mar 2020 - Dario Perkins

It has been clear for a while that the coronavirus posed a serious risk to the global economy. Yet the nature of this threat has changed dramatically. What looked like a temporary supply shock has morphed into a major.

#Covid19

Oil price declines and the impact on China’s energy complex

12 Mar 2020 - Stephen O'Sullivan

Oil prices have been steadily declining in recent weeks as the impact of the coronavirus on energy demand in China and the rest of the world has become evident. This slide accelerated significantly at the beginning of.

#China #Oil & Gas #Covid19 #OPEC #Oil Price

The bear and fear stalk the world

10 Mar 2020 - Charles Dumas

Global spread of the Covid-19 virus looks likely to cause a worldwide recession and bear market in stocks. Nobody knows how serious the disease is likely to be. But The Brookings Institution’s estimates suggest a.

#Equities #Recession #Covid19 #Stock Market #Bear Market

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We have a 30 year track record of successful calls. Many of these calls combined economic, political and market analysis.

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