Blogs - equities

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TS Lombard has a 30 year track record of bold and incisive analysis of Economics, Politics and Markets. This brief video explains how and why our research is unique.

The Equity Market is now in charge

09 Nov 2020 - Steven Blitz

Biden won, Trump lost, but lots of Republicans also won, and the October employment data help explain why – the population does not see the economy in crisis. The ongoing recovery in the labour market (906,000 private.

#Federal Reserve #Monetary Policy #Equities #Bond markets #US Economy #US Election

Perma-frosts and fiery endgames

06 Nov 2020 - Dario Perkins

The bond-equity correlation has gone mainstream in 2020, thanks in part to what happened in March when yields spiked even as equities crumbled (i.e. there was a POSITIVE correlation in returns). While this was.

#Central Banks #Equities #Bond markets

Portfolios in the post-Covid world

16 Oct 2020 - Andrea Cicione

If the Global Financial Crisis ushered in the era of zero yields, the Covid pandemic has made it a semi-permanent affair. We have looked at how lower bond returns have changed asset allocation choices faced by.

#Equities #Stock Market #Asset Allocation #Gold #Commodities #Dividend Aristocrats

China outperformance to continue

08 Oct 2020 - Lawrence Brainard

Equites are volatile globally but China is a big outperformer. Looking at rising equity volatilities, we conclude that markets are not ignoring downside risks; the point is that right now, the upside potential and.

#Equities #China #Emerging Markets #MSCI

World Trade momentum

06 Oct 2020 - Konstantinos Venetis

Macro momentum is easing but remains positive. Our Global Leading Indicator remains consistent with improving macro momentum, in line with the message from other widely followed high-frequency series like the OECD.

#Equities #China #Bond markets #Commodities #USD

Consumer Confidence Rebound Confounds the Economic Narrative

30 Sep 2020 - Steven Blitz

The rebound in consumer confidence is just one more indication that the usual narrative from high unemployment fails. To be sure, the confidence levels from the summer still project a loss for Trump (as it would for any.

#Equities #Recession #US Economy #Unemployment #Labour Market

Tech selloff may soon be over – but for how long?

10 Sep 2020 - Andrea Cicione

Bubble behaviour is clearly visible in the marketplace… Calling the top of a bubble is as hard as winning the lottery. The signs of the mature stage of bubble formation are becoming increasingly evident – leveraged risk.

#Equities #Technology

Retail boosted by equities, not $600

17 Aug 2020 - Steven Blitz

The $600 top-up in unemployment benefits is critical for those getting the funds, but its absence means less to overall retail spending than many opine. More critical to the revival in retail spending is the recovery in.

#Equities #Covid19 #Unemployment #Retail Sales

Bubbles, Covid-19 and digital disruption

07 Aug 2020 - Dario Perkins

Arguments about a bubble in equities continue, with US tech at the center of the dispute. Some are drawing comparisons with Dotcom in the 1990s. Yet the economic risks are greater this time. Big tech companies provide.

#Equities #Technology #Bubble

Road to inflation

27 Jul 2020 - Dario Perkins

Inflation remains an important theme for our clients. Perhaps this reflects supreme confidence in the policies governments and central banks have introduced to support their economies during the COVID-19 pandemic. With.

#Central Banks #Inflation #Equities #Covid19 #Unemployment

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We have a 30 year track record of successful calls. Many of these calls combined economic, political and market analysis.

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