Insights - equities

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Get ready for the super-charging of US-China decoupling

21 Apr 2022 - Grace Fan

Nearly two months into the Russia-Ukraine war, US policymakers – troubled by Beijing’s pro-Kremlin rhetoric – are forging ahead with robust plans to accelerate US-China decoupling. Of the five major decoupling pathways.

#Equities #China #Technology #Decarbonomics

Covid: Omicron variant - first take

26 Nov 2021 - Andrea Cicione

These are our initial thoughts on the new Covid variant: We don’t know enough about the B.1.1.529 variant to draw any specific conclusions at this stage. We know that it has many mutations on the protein spike, which.

#Liquidity #Equities #Covid19 #Stock Market

FOMC: AIT over before it starts?

27 Sep 2021 - Steven Blitz

The equity market rallied on a hawkish communication because the FOMC’s rate projections mirrored 2017-18, indicating the return to a strong dollar policy (intentional or not). The FOMC has now shown its hand (broadly.

#Federal Reserve #Equities #US Economy

When the V starts to fade

17 Sep 2021 - Konstantinos Venetis

The looming threat to the global growth outlook posed by the Delta variant should not be conflated with what is a natural cyclical downshift in output growth – something that was always on the cards following the.

#Monetary Policy #Inflation #Equities #Stock Market #Volatility

The Equity Market is now in charge

09 Nov 2020 - Steven Blitz

Biden won, Trump lost, but lots of Republicans also won, and the October employment data help explain why – the population does not see the economy in crisis. The ongoing recovery in the labour market (906,000 private.

#Federal Reserve #Monetary Policy #Equities #Bond markets #US Economy #US Election

Perma-frosts and fiery endgames

06 Nov 2020 - Dario Perkins

The bond-equity correlation has gone mainstream in 2020, thanks in part to what happened in March when yields spiked even as equities crumbled (i.e. there was a POSITIVE correlation in returns). While this was.

#Central Banks #Equities #Bond markets

Portfolios in the post-Covid world

16 Oct 2020 - Andrea Cicione

If the Global Financial Crisis ushered in the era of zero yields, the Covid pandemic has made it a semi-permanent affair. We have looked at how lower bond returns have changed asset allocation choices faced by.

#Equities #Stock Market #Asset Allocation #Gold #Commodities #Dividend Aristocrats

China outperformance to continue

08 Oct 2020 - Lawrence Brainard

Equites are volatile globally but China is a big outperformer. Looking at rising equity volatilities, we conclude that markets are not ignoring downside risks; the point is that right now, the upside potential and.

#Equities #China #Emerging Markets #MSCI

World Trade momentum

06 Oct 2020 - Konstantinos Venetis

Macro momentum is easing but remains positive. Our Global Leading Indicator remains consistent with improving macro momentum, in line with the message from other widely followed high-frequency series like the OECD.

#Equities #China #Bond markets #Commodities #USD

Consumer Confidence Rebound Confounds the Economic Narrative

30 Sep 2020 - Steven Blitz

The rebound in consumer confidence is just one more indication that the usual narrative from high unemployment fails. To be sure, the confidence levels from the summer still project a loss for Trump (as it would for any.

#Equities #Recession #US Economy #Unemployment #Labour Market

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